Cooper Flagg’s rookie season projections are 16 points and 6 rebounds per game, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s see how that stacks up against the last 10 No. 1 picks… Read more

There wasn’t much suspense at the top of the 2025 NBA Draft.
Duke star Cooper Flagg was a shoo-in to go No. 1 to Dallas, and now, it’s time to look toward the season.
How much will Flagg produce during his rookie season?
Let’s check out the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of June 30.
Cooper Flagg points per game
Over 16.9: -115 (bet $10 to win $18.70 total)
Under 16.9: -115 (bet $10 to win $18.70 total)
Cooper Flagg rebounds per game
Over 6.1: -115 (bet $10 to win $18.70 total)
Under 6.1: -115 (bet $10 to win $18.70 total)
Right now, the odds say Flagg is projected to average about 16 points and six rebounds.
How would those numbers compare to top picks of the past?
Let’s take a look at the points and rebounds per game for No. 1 picks during their rookie seasons in the last 10 years.
Zaccharie Risacher (2024, ATL): 12.6 points, 3.6 rebounds
Victor Wembanyama (2023, SAS): 21.4 points, 10.6 rebounds
Paolo Banchero (2022, ORL): 20 points, 6.9 rebounds
Cade Cunningham (2021, DET): 17.4 points, 5.5 rebounds
Anthony Edwards (2020, MIN): 19.3 points, 4.7 rebounds
Zion Williamson (2019, NO): 22.5 points, 6.3 rebounds
Deandre Ayton (2018, PHX): 16.3 points, 10.3 rebounds
Markelle Fultz (2017, PHI): 7.1 points, 3.1 rebounds
Ben Simmons (2016, PHI): 15.8 points, 8.1 rebounds
Karl-Anthony Towns: (2015, MIN): 18.3 points, 10.5 rebounds
First off, of those 10 names, four of them won Rookie of the Year (Wembanyama, Banchero, Simmons, Towns). Flagg is currently the -185 favorite to do the same.
From a statistical perspective, only Risacher, Fultz and Simmons averaged fewer than 16 points, and Risacher, Cunningham, Edwards and Fultz averaged fewer than six rebounds, the marks that Flagg is expected to hit.